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of ohio and florida. but is that true? we have in-depth analysis from karl rove, dick morris and the governor of ohio, john kasich. >> there is no doubt that the world is in need of a new order and fresh way of thinking. >> bill: mad man of iran insulting just about everybody at the u.n. we decided to turn the tables tonight and let miller loose on ahmadinejad. >> he is the impeerist do you df fuss. >> barack obama what do you think. >> it's all there in black and white. i hope the white part doesn't screw it up. >> our government is wiping its-[bleep] with the constitution. >> bill: new study out of the university of new hampshire celebrities saying dumb political stuff are hurting their careers. juliet huddy on that. caution, you where to enter the no spin zone. the factor begins right now. >> bill: i'm birl, thanks for watching us tonight. the status of the presidential race right this moment that's the subject of this evening's talking points memo. this is is an important factor tonight because we are going to tell you straight up where the campaign is at this point in hi
congressman will analyze the murders of the americans last night. dick morris on a bunch of new polling out today. some of it good news for mitt romney. we are coming right back from boston, massach >> bill: continuing now with the lead story, murder of the libyan ambassador to libya. christopher stevens and three other americans in benghazi, libya. joining us from washington louise gutierrez a member of the house intelligence committee. congressman, what say you? number one i'm mourning the death of a wonderful ambassador and three other americans condemning their death at the hands of extremist hands in libya. and and the same token i don't want to take a tragedy in libya and try to make political points out of it look, ambassador stevens was our uni have to the insurgent group before we got rid of colonel can qaddafi. in other words he was sent there by america to help foster democracy. which makes this even more ironic and greater tragedy. he understood and worked and he was then promoted to ambassador. america has a deep interest in making sure they have a keen relationship with the ne
last night. dick morris on a bunch of new polling out today. some of it good news for mitt romney. we are coming right back from boston, massach >>> a mob launched into a fiery rampage there yesterday. the attack killing the u.s. ambassador and killing three others as well. the white house is investigating whether the rampage was planned to mark the anniversary of the september 11th attacks or as a backlash to an antiislamic movie z a second night of violent demonstrations in cairo. and there are no specific threats to their safety at this point. i'm ainsley earhardt. back to the o'reilly factor, thanks for watching fox. this happy couple used capital one venture miles for their "destination wedding." double miles you can "actually" use. but with those single mile travel cards... [ bridesmaid ] blacked out... but i'm a bridesmaid. oh! "x" marks the spot she'll never sit. but i bought a dress! a toast... ...to the capital one venture card. fly any airline, any flight, anytime. double miles you can actually use. what a coincidence? what's in your wallet? [ all screaming ] watch the elbo
. dick morris and dennis miller warming up in the bullpen. both have provocative things to tell us upcoming. >> bill: continuing now with lead story. joining us from columbus the governor of ohio john kasich. before we get to that i'm bortd when people see you they will think i'm off because you obviously before you were the chief executive. >> 10 years. >> bill: that's right. my substitute here. quinnipiac poll has the president ahead in your state. also has you approval rating 48%. disapprove 35. so you in this poll are doing very well but mitt romney is not doing as well as you are and i want to know why. you listened to carl rove and i agree with him. these polls i don't pay attention to him. the numbers you just cited are numbers i didn't even pay attention to on my own numbers because it gindz when you ask and how you asked and what the sample is i think this is very close out here it. it is going to go right down to the wire. it's going to be who convinces people who are creating jobs who are listening and for their children. all about jobs. >> bill: i don't understand. this
so you can check it out on our web site. directly ahead dick morris on whether the republicans can win the senate in november. then, bernie goldberg on bad media decisions by both presidential candidates. dennis miller analyzes the president on letterman last nigh >> bill: in addition to the presidential race senate retain control of the house. things aren't going to well in massachusetts with scott brown running by elizabeth warren. four polls have ms. warren ahead. joining us from palm beach florida author the book dubz runs for president. dick morris. county g.o.p. win the senate? >> well, i think they will do better than my dog will. i believe they will win the senate. there are three seats that are very very likely. almost given republic wins. nebraska, north dakota and wisconsin. open seats all of them north dakota a little closer than usual but it's a heavily republic state. wisconsin a little bit closing of the gap but thompson is still way ahead. now, if they win those three and ryan is vice president, they control the senate. but if biden is vice president they don't. the
ahead dick morris on whether the republicans can win the senate in november. then, bernie goldberg on bad media decisions by both presidential candidates. dennis miller analyzes the president on letterman last night. those reports after these messages. after lauren broke up, i went to the citi private pass page and decided to be...not boring. that's how i met marilyn... giada... really good. yes! [ jack ] ...and alicia. ♪ this girl is on fire [ male announcer ] use any citi card to get the benefits of private pass. more concerts, more events, more experiences. [ jack ] hey, who's boring now? [ male announcer ] get more access with the citi card. [ crowd cheering, mouse clicks ] [ chuckles ] ♪ [ honk! ] ♪ [ honk! ] ♪ [ honk! ] ♪ [ male announcer ] now you'll know when to stop. [ hk! ] the all-new nissan altima with easy fill tire alert. [ honk! ] it's our most innovative altima ever. nissan. innovation that excites. ♪ >> bill: in addition to the presidential race senate retain control of the house. things aren't going to well in massachusetts with scott brown running by
you think dick morris is right? he says latinos increased their share by 1.5%. he says if you use that same model for this election and assume you will have the same turnouts from blacks, latinos and young kids, you will be off in your results. >> we just don't know the answer. that is, if all groups are depressed in their turnout as seems likely. the black or latino share will be about the same. young people probably will go down. they are showing less interests. but we can't say with specificity what dick is asserting. megyn: what are you supposed to do? >> both of us -- political pollsters screen and likeliness to vote, interest, intensity and where you are. we have in 2004 a split country. we had about an 8-point advantage for democrats in 2000. i can't imagine it being as good or better. if it is, republicans are going down across the board. >> we try to use a variety of different scenarios. even party, slight democratic advantage. bigger democratic advantage then look at differen different altes and advice accordingly. megyn: is there a finger on the poll? there was a hit pi
pollsters. doug schoen is the former advisor to bill clinton. dick morris who was once president clinton's pollster. but he's not a fan of the clintons anymore. but he writes this long piece talking about how the republicans are getting depressed under an after land much of polling that shows president obama ahead but she you shouldn't be because the pollsters are using a variance of the 2008 polling model that he says overstates the likelihood of success. >> it could. the truth is we don't know what the turnouts of democrats and republicans will be. but would i say this. dick it right in so far as most of the media polls are using -- are optimistic for the democratic party. as a professional pollster you try to be as cautious as possible in advising your clients. but most of the polls getting released are giving president obama the benefit of the doubt. megyn: why would they do that? if it says it's -- i don't understand why any pollster would want anything hotter than the most accurate results. >> what accurate is is often open to debate. the dirty little secret of polling is with cell
the trend. dick morris is fox news contributor and author of screwed. dick, you believe the story is . >> i don't think the numbers are accurate. i think there is a fundmental error going on in the polling by the media organizations. not by rasmussen and it shows romney one behind in florida and one in virginia and obama gets the undecided and could be ahead. but the difference is. they are using the is 2008 turn out model. huge latino and college students and viewwer elderly . that model happened for one year only. 2008. it didn't happen in 10 or four. and they are wrong for applying it. it is true if the people who voted in 8 as in 12 obama will get elected. >> brian: does it explain the trend. they were closer even with the same science? >> well, i don't believe that, i believe what they are doing is reweighting the data. that would not establish a trend. the accurate polling which is no reason to go to the polls. go to the accurate one. rasmussen shows the race within a point or two in each of the states . by the way, the trend in rasmussen and in my own poling is that romney was doing
know about the survey and look with a skeptical eye. former clinton advisor, dick morris. how are you? this is interesting. the justice department joined in an investigation into gullup after david axelrod accused them 6 using out of dated sampling methods. >> it was an lawsuit. a guy that worked on the obama campaign staff worked with gallup. after a year he blew the whistle and overcharged the federal government for the polling for the government. he sued them. the lawsuit just sat there and nobody moved. the government didn't do anything. then in april of 2012, april of this year, gallup came out with a poll that had romney four ahead. action ed elt rod telephoned gallup your survey and sample is wrong. come to the white house and tell us how you are doing your poll. gallup refused. axelrod and gallup with at loggerheads. a few weeks later the justice department moved to intervene in the lawsuit. as a plaintiff against gallup and they added a charge they misled the fema. >> sean: can we trust them i am? >> gallup is now conducting the poll under the shadow of a huge lawsuit by the
to "the ed show." that was dick morris, at's right, talking about his super secret polling source more than a month ago. and it seems republicans are now working ha thaever to create the own reality. the conspiracy theories are reached fox news. >> well, if you look at the mainstream media, the big headline is, according to their polling, mitt romney is, what, five, six, seven, eight points behind barack obama right now. is that the same kind of polng rnguys fngh >> hold it right there. he's complaining about all those mainstream media polls? but fox news' most recent poll had president obama up by five points over mi romney. here's ed gillespie of the romney campaign answering his queson. >> it is not consistent with our polling, stephen. i'm struck by a couple of things. number one, there are three swing state polls out today, and in every single one of them, they have a democratic voter participation that is higher than the participation in the electorate in 2008 iliecoin about something a lot of republicans have been complaining about as of late. they say democrats are being oversa
obama is going to win. but dick morris is not going to topeka. he will continue to cash his fox news paycheck and continue to predict republicans victories no matter what the polls say. even the fox news polls. [ male announcer ] this is rudy. his morning starts with arthritis pain. and two pills. afternoon's overhaul starts with more pain. more pills. triple checking hydraulics. the evening brings more pain. so, back to more pills. almost done, when... hang on. stan's doctor recommended aleve. it can keep pain away all day with fewer pills than tylenol. this is rudy. who switched to aleve. and two pills for a day free of pain. ♪ [ female announcer ] and try aleve for relief from tough headaches. [ female announcer ] and try aleve those little things for you, life's about her. but your erectile dysfunction - that could be a question of blood flow. cialis tadalafil for daily use helps you be ready anytime the moment's right. you can be more confident in your ability to be ready. and the same cialis is the only daily ed tablet approved to treat ed and symptoms of bph, like needing to
if that is economically what about the polls that has the president winning in small margin. dick morris answered that question. >> people need to understand that the polling is the worst it has ever been. this is the first election if i tell you who is going to vote, i can tell you how they are going to vote. black or latino or college kid or single mother, i will tell you how you can vote and over 65 or a man or married white womi am be right two out of three times. this is the issue who is going to vote. polling is good at saying how. but bad at saying who will vote. and the models they are using are crazy. they assume a democratic edge of 6-sevenpoints >> chris: that's the key. if they are using the metric where there are six or sevenmore percent they tend to win the poles. they are taking rasmussen metric and they and pew were closest to being right. and they analyzed the data and according to these folks, mitt romney has 5-11 percent in all of the other polls. ing interesting. >> gretchen: if you are conducting polls why not split it 50-50. why would you skew it. >> steve: rasmussen figured
Search Results 0 to 33 of about 34 (some duplicates have been removed)